Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.368546 0.477191 0.595199 0.731157 0.881897 1.042527 1.225332
2025-09-21 0.199959 0.336729 0.503176 0.711638 0.958352 1.235052 1.563460
2025-09-28 0.141552 0.292459 0.491396 0.753494 1.074940 1.444868 1.892747
2025-10-05 0.104786 0.265273 0.492824 0.805282 1.199032 1.660725 2.227551
2025-10-12 0.075488 0.238983 0.488427 0.844081 1.302827 1.849111 2.527352
2025-10-19 0.059581 0.229331 0.503968 0.906497 1.434233 2.069304 2.863688
2025-10-26 0.044126 0.214716 0.509064 0.952712 1.543665 2.261950 3.166724
2025-11-02 0.026513 0.186882 0.489572 0.962230 1.604050 2.393419 3.395840
2025-11-09 0.008370 0.139581 0.430664 0.910829 1.581379 2.419902 3.496738
2025-11-16 0.000454 0.097477 0.370543 0.851075 1.542928 2.423238 3.566699
2025-11-23 NaN 0.074471 0.339756 0.831538 1.555891 2.489127 3.711093
2025-11-30 NaN 0.062605 0.328918 0.841523 1.608370 2.604580 3.915868
2025-12-07 NaN 0.047135 0.306848 0.833954 1.638989 2.696141 4.097039
2025-12-14 NaN 0.031792 0.278606 0.813683 1.650715 2.763276 4.248596
2025-12-21 NaN 0.030177 0.288442 0.858372 1.755413 2.951360 4.550953
2025-12-28 NaN 0.030495 0.304331 0.913829 1.875949 3.160506 4.880108
2026-01-04 NaN 0.028582 0.312385 0.955253 1.976039 3.342850 5.175744
2026-01-11 NaN 0.030715 0.334399 1.021800 2.113030 3.573992 5.533002
2026-01-18 NaN 0.030118 0.346743 1.070983 2.224678 3.771867 5.848599
2026-01-25 NaN 0.024053 0.337763 1.081105 2.278727 3.893619 6.068318
2026-02-01 NaN 0.011911 0.295175 1.026413 2.235209 3.884979 6.122565
2026-02-08 NaN 0.003620 0.250744 0.962720 2.175011 3.851891 6.144016
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000991 0.229606 0.941866 2.178003 3.902261 6.270465